Election forecaster FiveThirtyEight.com gives Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump a 39% chance of winning the election over Democrat Kamala Harris — a new low for the former president.

Tuesday’s simulations are the first time that Trump has dropped below 40%, Newsweek reported. FiveThirtyEight had Trump at a 41% chance of winning when the model relaunched after Harris became a candidate.

The forecaster gave Harris a 61% chance of winning.

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